
The News Minute| October 19, 2014| 1.00 pm ISTAs experts and punditry decorticate elections in Maharashtra, the bigger surprise has been the spectacular showing of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Delhi’s neighboring state Haryana. From a meagre 4 seats to nearly fifty at time of writing, poll-watchers say the BJP’s performance in the state is nothing less than a miracle.A party with no significant leader, not much cadre base in most districts and has played second fiddle to other parties in previous election, how did the BJP manage this spectacular win?Poll watchers attribute this victory to five main factors:Disenchantment of non-Jat voters with Congress, INLDHaryana has had a Jat Chief Mnister for the past three terms. "Jats constitute 24% of the vote share in Haryana. Bhupinder Singh Hooda, a jat leader himself, has doled out many policies and even reservation for the community. This resulted in non Jats becoming disenchanted and they seem they have consolidated with BJP. Many Yadav votes has also gone to the BJP this time, as quite a few OBC leaders walked out of the party this time," says senior journalist Mayur Shekhar Jha.The Modi wave and Haryana's history of voting in tandem with the centre.Haryana as a state has always voted in tandem with the party in power at the centre and 2014 seems to be no different. During the run up to elections, BJP faced trouble during ticket distribution and many cadres openly expressed anger over 'outsiders' being brought in, then there was a feeling that perhaps the Modi wave has waned. Clearly, that was a wrong assessment of the situation. The decision by the BJP to sever ties with Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC) led by Bhaja Lal’s son Kuldeep Bishnoi and go it alone also sent a clear signal that proximity to Delhi would work even better if the government in the state would be close to the powers that be in Delhi.Haryana is tired of Hooda, but BJP gained of it.Anti-incumbency against the Hooda government was a foregone conclusion, but whether the disgruntled voter will choose the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) or BJP was not too clear. Patterns clearly show that the voter has rewarded BJP with the votes they took away from Hooda and the Congress. Even in Rohtak and Jhajjar, two districts that are seen as Hooda strongholds, the BJP has made inroads securing 2 out of 8 seats. Dera Sacha Saudha's supportIn the first week of October, more than 40 BJP candidates went to meet Dera Sacha Sauda Chief Gurmeet Ram Rahim Singh at his Sirsa-based Dera. The Dera for the first time announced its open support for a political party. With over 60 lakh followers in Haryana, having a decisive role to play in at least 20 seats, analysts believe the Dera'a help has helped the BJP's cause. It is of course another story that the Dera chief embroiled in many controversies needs the support of the party in power.Corruption, corruption and Robert VadraThe reality and the extended links of corruption between the Hooda government and Robert Vadra whose land deals during the Congress-led government had been called “the Hooda Vadra†government. The BJP had made the election a fight against corruption and the anti-corruption plank has hit the Congress hard.