Friday evening saw results of a pre-poll surveys conducted by Times Now-India TV- CVoter for the 5 states which go to polls in few weeks from now. For the state of Tamil Nadu, the poll has projected a clear win for Jayalalithaa.
Times Nowâ€™s survey shows that Jayalalithaa is all set to become the Chief Minister for a record sixth time in Tamil Nadu, with the AIADMK combine winning 130 seats with 39% vote-share. This will however be considerably less than the 59% vote share garnered by the party last time.
The DMK-Congress combine is projected to win 70 seats with 32% vote share, and DMDK chief Vijayakanth could be all set to play the King-spoilsport, winning 14 seats with 8% vote-share.
There is some solace for Congress-DMK combine in Puducherry as they are projected to win the state with 17 seats in the 30-member assembly. Present Chief Minister, N Rangaswamy, the leader of AINR Congress is expected to get 7 seats only, according to the Times Now-CVoter survey.
If the survey that has a margin of error of +/-3% comes true, this will be a major victory for Jayalalithaa as she will be beating the anti-incumbency and returning to power second time in a row, something which has not happened in the state of Tamil Nadu since AIADMK founder MG Ramachandranâ€™s regime.
VOTE SHARE: (March 4th week)
ADMK: 39% from 41% in March 1st week
DMK: 32% from 40% in March first week
BJP: 4% from 5% in March first week
OTHERS: 25% from 14% in March first week
2011 VOTE SHARE:
SEAT SHARE: MARCH 4TH WEEK:
ADMK: 130 from 116 in March 1st week
DMK: 70 from 101 in March 1st week
BJP: 0 from 0 in March 1st week
OTHERS: 34 from 17 in March 1st week