TN2016
Jayalalithaa to make a comeback in TN, spoilsport Vijayakanth

Friday evening saw results of a pre-poll surveys conducted by Times Now-India TV- CVoter for the 5 states which go to polls in few weeks from now. For the state of Tamil Nadu, the poll has projected a clear win for Jayalalithaa.

Times Now’s survey shows that Jayalalithaa is all set to become the Chief Minister for a record sixth time in Tamil Nadu, with the AIADMK combine winning 130 seats with 39% vote-share. This will however be considerably less than the 59% vote share garnered by  the party last time.

The DMK-Congress combine is projected to win 70 seats with 32% vote share, and DMDK chief Vijayakanth could be all set to play the King-spoilsport, winning 14 seats with 8% vote-share.

There is some solace for Congress-DMK combine in Puducherry as they are projected to win the state with 17 seats in the 30-member assembly. Present Chief Minister, N Rangaswamy, the leader of AINR Congress is expected to get 7 seats only, according to the Times Now-CVoter survey.

If the survey that has a margin of error of +/-3% comes true, this will be a major victory for Jayalalithaa as she will be beating the anti-incumbency and returning to power second time in a row, something which has not happened in the state of Tamil Nadu since AIADMK founder MG Ramachandran’s regime.

VOTE SHARE: (March 4th week)

ADMK: 39% from 41% in March 1st week

DMK: 32% from 40% in March first week

BJP: 4% from 5% in March first week

OTHERS: 25% from 14% in March first week

2011 VOTE SHARE: 

ADMK: 52%

DMK: 40%

BJP: 2%

OTHERS: 6%

SEAT SHARE: MARCH 4TH WEEK: 

ADMK: 130 from 116 in March 1st week

DMK: 70 from 101 in March 1st week

BJP: 0 from 0 in March 1st week

OTHERS: 34 from 17 in March 1st week