TN2016
TN pre-poll survey: AIADMK has an edge over others, but a surge in support for DMK

Popular Tamil TV news channel Puthiya Thalamurai has released the results of its latest pre-poll survey. The opinion poll, which was done in 200 spots and took responses from 5018 voters across the state, was conducted between January 22 and February 6. The survey, which asked respondents 14 questions – ranging from choice of Chief Minister to performance of the party on various issues – has thrown up some interesting results.

We have selected seven questions from the survey which we think are the most important. You can see the results of the full survey on PT TV.

1 – While the survey showed ample evidence to believe that there are a considerable number of people in TN who are disenchanted with both the DMK and AIADMK, when it comes to seats, the fight is between the two Dravidian majors, and it is a close one. Of the 234 seats up for grabs, PT survey shows that DMK will win 115 seats and AIADMK 119 seats if all parties were to contest alone.

 

2 – When asked which party they will vote for, 32.83% respondents said DMK, and 33.13% chose AIADMK, which is a slender margin. While there were 12.99% respondents who were undecided, DMDK was a distant third with 5.21%. If this is any indicator of vote share, then it shows that a DMK-DMDK alliance is poised to win over the AIADMK.

 

3 – While it is not surprising that 32.63% of the respondents want Jayalalithaa as the CM, the real eye-opener from the survey is the possibility that DMK’s next-generation leader MK Stalin is racing ahead of his father, M Karunanidhi, in the CM’s race. While 18.88% respondents wanted MK Stalin as the CM, only 15.21% wanted Karunanidhi as the CM.

 

4 – Among next generation leaders, MK Stalin is seen as the most trustworthy.

 

5 – Interestingly, a huge number of respondents believed that both DMK and AIADMK were corrupt. More than 50% of the respondents believe that neither DMK nor AIADMK had corruption-less governments.

 

 

6 – One issue which seems to be putting the AIADMK in trouble is price rise. While 35.41% believed that DMK government was able to control inflation, only 27.79% said that AIADMK was able to do it.

 

7 – The AIADMK government however came out with flying colours on the question of law and order. Close to 37% of respondents believed that AIADMK maintained law and order, while DMK stood at 29.63%.